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Gates Hillman Center Prediction Market

Research, News

Well, it’s been over a week since I last wrote, and a huge amount has happened. So I have a major backlog of stories to post.  I think I should be able to catch up by posting one or two a day for the next handful of days, so let’s start.

Abe Othman has gone live with a prediction market for the opening of the Gates Hillman Center, the future home of the Computer Science Department and Machine Learning Department. It is available at http://whenwillwemove.com. Anyone with a CMU id can participate. (Not surprisingly, Abe is one of Tuomas Sandholm’s students.) What can you win? The prediction market trades raffle tickets, which will put you in the running for any number of really cool prizes.

By the way, if you don’t know much about prediction markets, check out Intrade.com, where you can buy and sell predictions on who will win the presidential election. (As of this writing, McCain has a narrow lead on Obama.)

I spent a few minutes dabbling with whenwillwemove.com, but it became apparent pretty quickly that unless I get very, very lucky, I am not likely to do well against the army of grad students working the system! Now, if I can just get my hands on some inside information…

Oh, and is anyone interested in buying some October 2009 dates?  ;-)

Peter Lee @ September 11, 2008

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